Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4668
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 4668 · DEN → BFL
departs 11:15 AM MT · arrives 1:00 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Tue 10/13 22%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 17%
Sat 10/17 15%
Sun 10/18 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at BFL more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BFL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at BFL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BFL?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from DEN are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
BFL is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BFL
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.24 in
BFL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.