Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4687
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 4687 · DEN → CPR
departs 11:28 AM MT · arrives 12:42 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Tue 10/13 16%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 18%
Fri 10/16 19%
Sat 10/17 15%
Sun 10/18 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at CPR more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±1 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CPR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at CPR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CPR?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.733333 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CPR that day
↑
11am departures from DEN are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
CPR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.733333 mi Precip 0.24 in
CPR (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 0.33 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.