Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4788
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 4788 · IAH → CMH
departs 12:08 PM CT · arrives 3:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Tue 10/13 27%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 23%
Fri 10/16 24%
Sat 10/17 23%
Sun 10/18 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CMH that day
↑
12pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 9,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CMH (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.