Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4915
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 4915 · EVV → DFW
departs 6:55 AM CT · arrives 9:11 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Tue 10/13 15%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 15%
Fri 10/16 17%
Sat 10/17 13%
Sun 10/18 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave EVV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from EVV are usually not late
Weather at each end
EVV (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 467 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.46 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.