Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4935
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14 Tomorrow
OO 4935 · BNA → ORD
departs 6:59 AM CT · arrives 8:50 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 12%
Sat 10/17 14%
Sun 10/18 16%
Mon 10/19 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 3,900 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 2,200 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.