Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4954
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 4954 · DFW → EVV
departs 9:43 AM CT · arrives 11:42 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Mon 10/12 14%
Tue 10/13 11%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 18%
Sat 10/17 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at EVV more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EVV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at EVV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EVV?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9am departures from DFW are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
EVV usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
EVV (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.