Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4994
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 4994 · OKC → ORD
departs 6:44 AM CT · arrives 8:53 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Mon 10/12 12%
Tue 10/13 11%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 12%
Sat 10/17 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at ORD that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at OKC that day
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from OKC are usually not late
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.62 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.