Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5013
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5013 · DFW → MAF
departs 7:15 AM CT · arrives 8:36 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Mon 10/12 15%
Tue 10/13 15%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 15%
Sat 10/17 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at MAF that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MAF (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.