Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5027
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5027 · ORD → DEC
departs 7:51 AM CT · arrives 8:54 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Mon 10/12 13%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 18%
Fri 10/16 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEC more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at DEC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DEC?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DEC that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at ORD that day
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.09 in
DEC (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.64 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.