Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5315
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5315 · DEN → TUL
departs 10:04 AM MT · arrives 12:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Tue 10/13 13%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 16%
Fri 10/16 14%
Sat 10/17 12%
Sun 10/18 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±8 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into TUL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.24 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.