Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5596
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5596 · MTY → SFO
departs 6:08 AM CST · arrives 9:29 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Mon 10/12 23%
Tue 10/13 13%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 21%
Fri 10/16 22%
Sat 10/17 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave MTY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MTY (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.