Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5626
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5626 · ORD → DAY
departs 9:18 AM CT · arrives 11:35 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Mon 10/12 22%
Tue 10/13 15%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 24%
Fri 10/16 18%
Sat 10/17 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAY more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at DAY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAY?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9am departures from ORD are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at ORD that day
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into DAY at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.09 in
DAY (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.