Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5651
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5651 · ORD → MLI
departs 8:53 AM CT · arrives 9:53 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Tue 10/13 9%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 24%
Fri 10/16 18%
Sat 10/17 19%
Sun 10/18 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MLI more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MLI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at MLI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MLI?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MLI that day
↑
8am departures from ORD are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MLI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.26 in
MLI (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.