Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5710
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5710 · FWA → ORD
departs 7:40 AM ET · arrives 8:00 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Mon 10/12 20%
Tue 10/13 7%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at ORD that day
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at FWA that day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
FWA (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.09 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.