Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5726
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5726 · ORD → TVC
departs 7:33 AM CT · arrives 9:44 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Mon 10/12 14%
Tue 10/13 19%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 18%
Sat 10/17 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at TVC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TVC?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at ORD that day
↑
Other factors
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into TVC at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.10 in
TVC (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.