Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5782
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5782 · DEN → ASE
departs 9:50 AM MT · arrives 10:59 AM MT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Tue 10/13 20%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 19%
Fri 10/16 20%
Sat 10/17 19%
Sun 10/18 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ASE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to ASE?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 1.33333 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ASE that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ASE is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.24 in
ASE (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 1.33333 mi Precip 0.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.