Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5783
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5783 · IAH → XNA
departs 9:32 AM CT · arrives 11:11 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Tue 10/13 19%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 19%
Fri 10/16 24%
Sun 10/18 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±5 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at XNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to XNA?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at XNA that day
↑
This flight has been late 14% of the time recently
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
XNA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.