Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5784
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5784 · ORD → GRR
departs 6:02 AM CT · arrives 8:04 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Mon 10/12 8%
Tue 10/13 6%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 12%
Fri 10/16 11%
Sat 10/17 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at GRR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to GRR?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at ORD that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi forecast at GRR that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.09 in
GRR (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.