Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5838
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5838 · ORD → MKE
departs 6:11 AM CT · arrives 7:28 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Mon 10/12 13%
Tue 10/13 10%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 16%
Fri 10/16 15%
Sat 10/17 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at ORD that day
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.09 in
MKE (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.