OO 5892 · DEN → XWA

departs 12:13 PM MT · arrives 3:02 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at XWA more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to XWA?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ 12pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ XWA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.29 in

XWA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5892 · DEN → XWA

Odds over time

How late will it get to XWA?