Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5897
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5897 · SBP → LAX
departs 7:18 AM PT · arrives 8:39 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Mon 10/12 41%
Tue 10/13 12%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 30%
Fri 10/16 18%
Sat 10/17 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave SBP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SBP is prone to delays
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
7am departures from SBP are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SBP (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.