Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6015
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 6015 · TUL → IAH
departs 1:59 PM CT · arrives 3:56 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Tue 10/13 39%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 18%
Fri 10/16 21%
Sat 10/17 14%
Sun 10/18 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±10 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,267 ft, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
1pm departures from TUL are usually not late
Weather at each end
TUL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,267 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.50 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.