Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6214
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 6214 · ICT → PHX
departs 12:28 PM CT · arrives 12:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Tue 10/13 17%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 19%
Fri 10/16 13%
Sat 10/17 11%
Sun 10/18 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 467 ft, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ICT that day
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
PHX is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
ICT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ICT (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 467 ft Visibility 3.33333 mi Precip 1.96 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.