Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6366
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 6366 · ALO → ORD
departs 6:09 AM CT · arrives 7:26 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Mon 10/12 14%
Tue 10/13 9%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 22%
Fri 10/16 15%
Sat 10/17 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave ALO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ALO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 9,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.