Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6479
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 6479 · MKE → ORD
departs 8:45 AM CT · arrives 9:43 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Tue 10/13 13%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 28%
Fri 10/16 20%
Sat 10/17 19%
Sun 10/18 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MKE (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.05 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.