Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6488 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

OO 6488 · ORD → YYZ

departs 8:07 AM CT · arrives 10:47 AM EDT

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±2 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YYZ?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.36 in

YYZ (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6488 · ORD → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?