Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5791
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
PT 5791 · PWM → PHL
departs 11:21 AM ET · arrives 1:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Tue 10/13 16%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 23%
Sat 10/17 18%
Sun 10/18 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave PWM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi forecast at PWM that day
↑
PT's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
PWM (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 0.20 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.