Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5797
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
PT 5797 · ILM → PHL
departs 7:51 AM ET · arrives 9:37 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Tue 10/13 11%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 15%
Sun 10/18 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave ILM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
PT's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↑
ILM is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
7am departures from ILM are usually not late
Weather at each end
ILM (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 1 mi Precip none
PHL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.