Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 6047
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
PT 6047 · PHL → CLE
departs 12:50 PM ET · arrives 2:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Tue 10/13 11%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 23%
Sat 10/17 19%
Sun 10/18 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at CLE that day
↑
PT's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CLE (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.24 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.