tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA JAZZ · FLIGHT QK 859 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

QK 859 · YUL → PHL

departs 1:19 PM EDT · arrives 2:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.