Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

QATAR AIRWAYS · FLIGHT QR 728 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

QR 728 · PHL → DOH

departs 9:38 PM ET · arrives 8:45 PM +03

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at DOH more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DOH?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from PHL are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DOH

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DOH (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QR 728 · PHL → DOH

Odds over time

How late will it get to DOH?