Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2117
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
QX 2117 · SEA → ICT
departs 9:07 AM PT · arrives 2:38 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Tue 10/13 11%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 13%
Fri 10/16 15%
Sat 10/17 14%
Sun 10/18 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 533 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ICT that day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↓
ICT usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
ICT (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 533 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.58 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.