Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2328
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
QX 2328 · SEA → TUL
departs 11:50 AM PT · arrives 5:37 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Tue 10/13 14%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 23%
Fri 10/16 27%
Sat 10/17 17%
Sun 10/18 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,267 ft, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day
↑
11am departures from SEA are often late
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SEA that day
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
TUL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip 1.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.