Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA ROUGE · FLIGHT RV 1602 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

RV 1602 · YUL → FLL

departs 8:08 AM EDT · arrives 11:48 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1.33333 mi forecast at YUL that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

Weather at each end

YUL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.11 in

FLL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RV 1602 · YUL → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?