tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA EL SALVADOR · FLIGHT TA 581 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

TA 581 · IAD → SAL

departs 5:42 AM ET · arrives 8:14 AM CST
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Arrive at SAL more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAL?

  1. On time or early
    87%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.