tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1186 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1186 · ORD → BOS

departs 6:05 AM CT · arrives 9:29 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 49h before departure
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.3d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BOS?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.