UA 1233 · FAR → DEN

departs 8:53 AM CT · arrives 10:08 AM MT

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±2 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ DEN is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FAR

Weather at each end

FAR (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.29 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1233 · FAR → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?