Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1374 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

UA 1374 · DEN → FLL

departs 4:12 PM MT · arrives 10:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 53h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.43 in

FLL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1374 · DEN → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?