Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1415SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1415 · EWR → TPA
departs 9:26 AM ET · arrives 12:28 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 35h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
8%chance · ±0 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.