tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1475 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1475 · BOS → ORD

departs 3:13 PM ET · arrives 5:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
36% chance · ±6 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    64%
  2. 15–30 min late
    14%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    14%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.