Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1767 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

UA 1767 · DEN → LAS

departs 9:46 AM MT · arrives 10:51 AM PT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±8 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 9am departures from DEN are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.43 in

LAS (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1767 · DEN → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?