Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1776 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14 Tomorrow

UA 1776 · ORD → PHL

departs 5:59 PM CT · arrives 9:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.36 in

PHL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1776 · ORD → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?