Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1928 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14 Tomorrow

UA 1928 · ORD → BOS

departs 2:09 PM CT · arrives 5:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.36 in

BOS (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1928 · ORD → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?