tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2002 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 2002 · ORD → YYZ

departs 6:58 AM CT · arrives 9:35 AM EDT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
20% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.3d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to YYZ?

  1. On time or early
    79%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.