tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2015 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 2015 · LGA → ORD

departs 11:24 AM ET · arrives 12:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 49h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±5 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.