tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2054 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 2054 · IAD → SAN

departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 8:23 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAN?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.