UA 2082 · ICT → DEN

departs 9:31 AM CT · arrives 10:05 AM MT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±6 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ICT that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ICT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip2.42 in

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.29 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2082 · ICT → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?