Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2093 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

UA 2093 · DEN → EWR

departs 7:05 PM MT · arrives 12:46 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.24 in

EWR (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2093 · DEN → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?