Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2851SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 2851 · SFO → PDX
departs 12:34 PM PT · arrives 2:24 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
13%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.