Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 375 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

UA 375 · EWR → BOS

departs 10:00 AM ET · arrives 11:16 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from EWR are often late

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.6 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 375 · EWR → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?